The SPY ETF price gained 1.99% on the last trading day (Thursday, 27th Apr 2023), rising from $404.36 to $412.41. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.46% from a day low at $406.74 to a day high of $412.69. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.26% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 11 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 90 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $36.96 billion.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect SPY ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $389.23 and $421.99 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
The SPY ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $410.52 and $402.90. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 26, 2023, and so far it has risen 1.99%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $389.28 and $385.91.There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, SPY finds support just below today's level at $389.28. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $385.91 and $385.36.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $5.95 between high and low, or 1.46%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.99%.
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for SPY ETF to perform well in the short-term period.We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Check full SPDR S&P 500 ETF forecast and analysis here.
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