Spdr S&p 500 Etf ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 08, 2026 Loss -0.87%

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF price gained 0.102% on the last trading day (Friday, 24th Jul 2026), rising from $738.18 to $738.93. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.87% from a day low at $737.29 to a day high of $743.72. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.12% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -14 million shares and in total, 41 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $30.65 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF lies in the lower part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $735.38 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 2.69% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $755.18 and $792.29 at the end of this 3-month period.

SPY Signals & Forecast

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $744.15 and $743.95. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, July 10, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.12%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR S&P 500 ETF

SPDR S&P 500 finds support from accumulated volume at $738.18 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $6.43 between high and low, or 0.87%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.797%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $708.31 (-4.14%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 10 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (SPY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 27th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 27th we expect SPDR S&P 500 ETF to open at $739.98, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $734.98 and $742.88, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$7.90 (+/-1.08%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR S&P 500 ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.08% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $738.18 (0.10%) than the resistance at $740.96 (0.27%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is SPDR S&P 500 ETF ETF A Buy?

Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.445 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 27, 2026 - $739.98 ( 0.142%).

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