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The SQQQ ETF price fell by -7.25% on the last day (Thursday, 29th Dec 2022) from $58.07 to $53.86. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 6.51% from a day low at $53.27 to a day high of $56.74. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 21.22% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -23 million shares and in total, 81 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.38 billion.
The ETF lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -16.38% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $31.59 and $48.41 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
The SQQQ ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term moving average at approximately $53.97. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $47.71. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, December 28, 2022, and so far it has fallen -7.25%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $47.13 and $43.35.There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, SQQQ finds support just below today's level at $47.13. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $43.35 and $43.34.
This ETF may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this ETF is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the ETF moved $3.47 between high and low, or 6.51%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 6.23%.
SQQQ holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Check full SQQQ forecast and analysis here.