Stronger technical forecast for NIO stock price after Friday trading.
The NIO stock price gained 3.51% on the last trading day (Friday, 6th Sep 2024), rising from $4.85 to $5.02. It has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.71% from a day low at $4.90 to a day high of $5.18. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 25.81% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -797 thousand shares and in total, 103 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $517.24 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
On Sep 06, 2024, it was reported that Piper Sandler gave NIO a "Overweight" grade with a "upgrade" action.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.89% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $3.09 and $4.47 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The NIO stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $4.28 and $4.11. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, August 07, 2024, and so far it has risen 36.78%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
NIO finds support from accumulated volume at $4.87 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.280 between high and low, or 5.71%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.50%.
Since the NIO has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.
NIO holds several positive signals and despite the stock being in a falling trend, we considered it to be a good choice at these current levels. We expect NIO stock will perform very well in the next 3 months. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Strong Buy candidate.
Check full NIO forecast and analysis here.
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