NIO Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 08, 2025 Gain 0.25%

The NIO stock price gained 0.253% on the last trading day (Friday, 9th May 2025), rising from $3.96 to $3.97. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.54% from a day low at $3.96 to a day high of $4.10. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.49% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -4 million shares and in total, 23 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $89.43 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -15.93% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $2.38 and $3.89 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

NIO Signals & Forecast

The NIO stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $3.95 and $3.84. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 28, 2025, and so far it has fallen -7.89%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NIO stock

NIO finds support from accumulated volume at $3.93 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.140 between high and low, or 3.54%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.70%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $3.77 (-5.04%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 9 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (NIO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 12th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 12th we expect NIO Inc. to open at $4.01, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.76 and $4.18, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.207 (+/-5.22%) up or down from last closing price. If NIO Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.45% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $3.98 (0.25%) than the support at $3.93 (1.01%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is NIO Inc. stock A Buy?

NIO holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: -0.494 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on May 12, 2025 - $4.01 ( 1.01%).