Stronger technical forecast for TQQQ ETF price after Friday trading

The TQQQ ETF price fell by -0.0903% on the last day (Friday, 26th Dec 2025) from $55.36 to $55.31. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.15% from a day low at $55.11 to a day high of $55.75. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.43% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 11 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 36 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.02 billion.

The ETF is moving within a very wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect TQQQ ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $47.46 and $61.74 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

The TQQQ ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $53.48 and $53.34. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.37%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $52.33 and $51.03.There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, TQQQ finds support just below today's level at $52.33. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $51.03 and $49.18.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.635 between high and low, or 1.15%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.85%.

TQQQ holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.