Volatile ride for SOXL ETF price on Friday moving between $8.18 and $10.43

The SOXL ETF price fell by -23.49% on the last day (Friday, 4th Apr 2025) from $11.41 to $8.73. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 27.52% from a day low at $8.18 to a day high of $10.43. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -54.72% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 186 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 482 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.21 billion.

The ETF has broken the very wide and falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($11.33) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory -$0.179 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The SOXL ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $14.58 and $20.88. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 24, 2025, and so far it has fallen -58.43%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This ETF may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this ETF is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the ETF moved $2.25 between high and low, or 27.52%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 16.50%.

SOXL is oversold on RSI14 (15). Some ETFs may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but ETFs that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.

SOXL holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.