Weaker technical forecast for Amazon as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.

StockInvest.us, 4 years ago

Amazon

The Amazon stock price gained 0.15% on the last trading day (Monday, 21st Mar 2022), rising from $3225.01 to $3229.83. , and has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the day the stock fluctuated 2.21% from a day low at $3191.06 to a day high of $3261.68. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 17.49% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -2 million shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.96 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

On Feb 04, 2022 "MKM Partners" gave "$4,000.00 - $4,100.00" rating for AMZN. The price target was set to $3,152.79+13.5%.

The stockhas broken the wide and falling short-term trend up. Firstly a slower falling rate is indicated, but this may very well be an early signal of a trend shift. On the reaction, there will be support on the roof of the current trend broken, which is $3044.42, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $3515.48 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.

Amazon

The Amazon stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $3050.94 and $3026.05. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, March 08, 2022, and so far it has risen 18.73%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.

Amazon finds support from accumulated volume at $3152.79 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $70.62 between high and low, or 2.21%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 3.49%.

Since the Amazon has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. As we cannot be certain with regards to the size of the reaction, we urge caution.

Amazon holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Check full Amazon forecast and analysis here.
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