Weaker technical forecast for Amazon as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.StockInvest.us, 2 months ago
The Amazon stock price gained 3.52% on the last trading day (Monday, 11th Sep 2023), rising from $138.23 to $143.10. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.59% from a day low at $138.65 to a day high of $143.62. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.38% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 19 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 55 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $7.81 billion.
On Sep 07, 2023, it was reported that Needham gave AMZN a "Buy" grade with a "hold" action.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 8.79% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $145.10 and $159.72 at the end of this 3-month period.
The Amazon stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $138.28 and $135.05. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, August 24, 2023, and so far it has risen 8.54%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Amazon finds support from accumulated volume at $139.57 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $4.97 between high and low, or 3.59%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.47%.
Amazon holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.Check full Amazon forecast and analysis here.