Weaker technical forecast for Amazon as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate

The Amazon stock price gained 1.21% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 25th Mar 2025), rising from $203.26 to $205.71. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.47% from a day low at $203.22 to a day high of $206.21. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.64% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -8 million shares and in total, 31 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.36 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

On Mar 03, 2025, it was reported that Telsey Advisory gave AMZN a "Outperform" grade with a "hold" action.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -13.54% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $164.17 and $191.98 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, March 18, 2025, and so far it has risen 6.68%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Amazon stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $212.48. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $197.75. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.

Amazon finds support from accumulated volume at $203.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.99 between high and low, or 1.47%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.24%.

Amazon holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.