XAU/USD currency pair upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Friday trading session

The XAU/USD currency pair price gained 0.616% on the last trading day (Friday, 2nd May 2025), rising from $3,238.08 to $3,258.01. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.96% from a day low at $3,227.61 to a day high of $3,258.62. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.11% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -411 shares and in total, 0 shares were bought and sold for approximately $0 . You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The currency pair lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to rise 16.97% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $3,635.88 and $4,036.44 at the end of this 3-month period.

The XAU/USD currency pair holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the currency pair giving a positive forecast for the currency pair. On further gains, the currency pair will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $3,301.97. On a fall, the currency pair will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $3,159.60. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, May 01, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.616%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

XAU/USD finds support from accumulated volume at $3,110.46 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the currency pair During the last day, the currency pair moved $31.01 between high and low, or 0.96%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 1.14%

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for XAU/USD currency pair to perform well in the short-term.We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.