Shahe Industrial Co Ltd Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Shahe Industrial Co Ltd as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on May 20, 2024)
The Shahe Industrial Co Ltd stock price fell by -4.10% on the last day (Monday, 20th May 2024) from ¥12.19 to ¥11.69. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.26% from a day low at ¥11.50 to a day high of ¥11.99. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.94% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -12 million shares and in total, 21 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ¥240.94 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.29% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ¥8.94 and ¥11.04 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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000014.SZ Signals & Forecast
The Shahe Industrial Co Ltd stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at ¥11.35 and ¥11.27. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 17, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.10%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Shahe Industrial Co Ltd stock
Shahe Industrial Co Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at ¥11.62 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved ¥0.490 between high and low, or 4.26%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.13%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ¥11.24 (-3.86%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 21 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (000014.SZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Shahe Industrial Co Ltd to open at ¥11.73, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ¥11.04 and ¥12.34, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-¥0.646 (+/-5.53%) up or down from last closing price. If Shahe Industrial Co Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.05% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at ¥11.62 (0.60%) than the resistance at ¥12.05 (3.08%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Shahe Industrial Co Ltd stock A Buy?
Shahe Industrial Co Ltd holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.429 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Shahe Industrial Co Ltd of Tuesday, May 21, 2024
| Fair opening price May 21, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ¥11.73 ( 0.314%) | ¥11.69 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 000014.SZ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 12.22 | 4.51 % | |
| R2 | 12.03 | 2.90 % | ||
| R1 | 11.91 | 1.91 % | ||
| Current price: | 11.69 | |||
| Support | S1 | 11.54 | -1.29 % | |
| S2 | 11.42 | -2.28 % | ||
| S3 | 11.24 | -3.88 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 12.35 | 5.65 % | |
| R2 | 12.19 | 4.28 % | ||
| R1 | 12.05 | 3.08 % | ||
| Current price | 11.69 | |||
| Support | S1 | 11.62 | -0.599% | |
| S2 | 11.29 | -3.42% | ||
| S3 | 10.70 | -8.47% |
000014 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 02, 2023 | Jun 02, 2023 | Jun 02, 2023 | ¥0.120 | 1.16% |
| 2 | May 27, 2022 | May 27, 2022 | May 27, 2022 | ¥0.0500 | 0.549% |
| 3 | Jun 11, 2021 | Jun 11, 2021 | Jun 11, 2021 | ¥0.0067 | 0.102% |
| 4 | Jun 11, 2020 | Jun 11, 2020 | Jun 11, 2020 | ¥0.0092 | 0.120% |
| 5 | Jun 19, 2019 | Jun 19, 2019 | Jun 19, 2019 | ¥0.0550 | 0.692% |
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