Guangdong Golden Dragon Development Inc Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Guangdong Golden Dragon Development Inc as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 30, 2024)
The Guangdong Golden Dragon Development Inc stock price fell by -2.46% on the last day (Tuesday, 30th Apr 2024) from ¥11.36 to ¥11.08. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.29% from a day low at ¥10.50 to a day high of ¥11.37. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 17.37% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -20 million shares and in total, 29 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ¥317.29 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at ¥11.34 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.25% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ¥8.50 and ¥10.41 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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000712.SZ Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Guangdong Golden Dragon Development Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at ¥11.35. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at ¥10.60. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 29, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.46%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Guangdong Golden Dragon Development Inc stock
Guangdong Golden Dragon Development Inc finds support from accumulated volume at ¥11.04 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved ¥0.87 between high and low, or 8.29%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.77%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (000712.SZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Guangdong Golden Dragon Development Inc to open at ¥10.98, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ¥10.28 and ¥11.88, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-¥0.80 (+/-7.22%) up or down from last closing price. If Guangdong Golden Dragon Development Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 14.44% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at ¥11.04 (0.36%) than the resistance at ¥11.45 (3.34%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Guangdong Golden Dragon Development Inc stock A Buy?
Guangdong Golden Dragon Development Inc holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.584 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Guangdong Golden Dragon Development Inc of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ¥10.98 ( 0.87%) | ¥11.08 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 000712.SZ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 11.85 | 6.98 % | |
| R2 | 11.52 | 3.98 % | ||
| R1 | 11.32 | 2.13 % | ||
| Current price: | 11.08 | |||
| Support | S1 | 10.65 | -3.87 % | |
| S2 | 10.45 | -5.72 % | ||
| S3 | 10.11 | -8.72 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 12.76 | 15.16 % | |
| R2 | 12.24 | 10.47 % | ||
| R1 | 11.45 | 3.34 % | ||
| Current price | 11.08 | |||
| Support | S1 | 11.04 | -0.361% | |
| S2 | 10.40 | -6.14% | ||
| S3 | 10.02 | -9.57% |
000712 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26, 2022 | Aug 26, 2022 | Aug 26, 2022 | ¥0.0100 | 0.0693% |
| 2 | Aug 13, 2018 | Aug 13, 2018 | Aug 13, 2018 | ¥0.100 | 1.17% |
| 3 | Jul 17, 2017 | Jul 17, 2017 | Jul 17, 2017 | ¥0.100 | 0.571% |
| 4 | Jun 13, 2016 | Jun 13, 2016 | Jun 13, 2016 | ¥0.100 | 0.551% |
| 5 | Jul 27, 2015 | Jul 27, 2015 | Jul 27, 2015 | ¥0.100 | 0.458% |
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