Guoyuan Securities Company Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Guoyuan Securities Company Limited stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Guoyuan Securities Company Limited stock price fell by -1.62% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from ¥6.16 to ¥6.06. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.48% from a day low at ¥6.03 to a day high of ¥6.30. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.81% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 13 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 32 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ¥194.59 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at ¥6.06 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.85% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ¥5.76 and ¥6.40 at the end of this 3-month period.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
000728.SZ Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Guoyuan Securities Company Limited stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at ¥6.20 and ¥6.49. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 14, 2024, and so far it has fallen -12.30%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Guoyuan Securities Company Limited stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved ¥0.270 between high and low, or 4.48%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.05%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (000728.SZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Guoyuan Securities Company Limited to open at ¥6.13, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ¥5.90 and ¥6.22, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-¥0.155 (+/-2.56%) up or down from last closing price. If Guoyuan Securities Company Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.13% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ ¥6.37, some ¥0.310 (5.12%) from the current price of ¥6.06, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Guoyuan Securities Company Limited stock A Buy?
Guoyuan Securities Company Limited holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.307 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Guoyuan Securities Company Limited of Monday, July 1, 2024
| Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ¥6.13 ( 1.16%) | ¥6.06 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 000728.SZ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 6.40 | 5.61% |
| R2 | 6.30 | 3.91% |
| R1 | 6.23 | 2.86% |
| Price | 6.06 | |
| S1 | 6.03 | -0.547% |
| S2 | 5.96 | -1.60% |
| S3 | 5.86 | -3.30% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 6.82 | 12.54% |
| R2 | 6.79 | 12.05% |
| R1 | 6.37 | 5.12% |
| Price | 6.06 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
000728 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 30, 2024 | May 30, 2024 | May 30, 2024 | ¥0.150 | 2.34% |
| 2 | May 23, 2023 | May 23, 2023 | May 23, 2023 | ¥0.150 | 2.26% |
| 3 | May 19, 2022 | May 19, 2022 | May 19, 2022 | ¥0.180 | 3.20% |
| 4 | Nov 09, 2021 | Nov 09, 2021 | Nov 09, 2021 | ¥0.100 | 1.35% |
| 5 | May 20, 2021 | May 20, 2021 | May 20, 2021 | ¥0.100 | 1.26% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Guoyuan Securities Company Limited Stock.
