First Capital Securities Co Ltd Stock Forecast
First Capital Securities Co Ltd stock price down 0.369% on Friday
(Updated on May 31, 2024)
The First Capital Securities Co Ltd stock price fell by -0.369% on the last day (Friday, 31st May 2024) from ¥5.42 to ¥5.40. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.11% from a day low at ¥5.40 to a day high of ¥5.46. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.05% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 19 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ¥104.78 million.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Capital Securities Co Ltd stock with a 90% probability to be traded between ¥5.01 and ¥5.86 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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002797.SZ Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, May 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The First Capital Securities Co Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at ¥5.45 and ¥5.48. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Capital Securities Co Ltd stock
First Capital Securities Co Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at ¥5.29 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved ¥0.0600 (1.11%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.19%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (002797.SZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect First Capital Securities Co Ltd to open at ¥5.42, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ¥5.25 and ¥5.55, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-¥0.149 (+/-2.76%) up or down from last closing price. If First Capital Securities Co Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.52% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at ¥5.29 (2.04%) than the resistance at ¥5.57 (3.15%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is First Capital Securities Co Ltd stock A Buy?
First Capital Securities Co Ltd holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.085 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for First Capital Securities Co Ltd of Monday, June 3, 2024
| Fair opening price June 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ¥5.42 ( 0.370%) | ¥5.40 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 002797.SZ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 5.48 | 1.48 % | |
| R2 | 5.46 | 1.06 % | ||
| R1 | 5.44 | 0.795 % | ||
| Current price: | 5.40 | |||
| Support | S1 | 5.40 | -0.0541 % | |
| S2 | 5.38 | -0.316 % | ||
| S3 | 5.36 | -0.741 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 5.92 | 9.63 % | |
| R2 | 5.74 | 6.30 % | ||
| R1 | 5.57 | 3.15 % | ||
| Current price | 5.40 | |||
| Support | S1 | 5.29 | -2.04% | |
| S2 | 5.27 | -2.41% | ||
| S3 | 5.24 | -2.96% |
002797 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 26, 2023 | Jul 26, 2023 | Jul 26, 2023 | ¥0.0400 | 0.671% |
| 2 | Jun 28, 2022 | Jun 28, 2022 | Jun 28, 2022 | ¥0.0400 | 0.596% |
| 3 | Aug 06, 2021 | Aug 06, 2021 | Aug 06, 2021 | ¥0.0400 | 0.635% |
| 4 | May 22, 2020 | May 22, 2020 | May 22, 2020 | ¥0.0250 | 0.366% |
| 5 | Jul 05, 2019 | Jul 05, 2019 | Jul 05, 2019 | ¥0.0100 | 0.156% |
FAQ
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