Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Jun 20, 2024)
The Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd stock price fell by -2.96% on the last day (Thursday, 20th Jun 2024) from ¥19.60 to ¥19.02. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.01% from a day low at ¥18.96 to a day high of ¥19.91. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -9.21% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 268 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ¥47.90 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.34% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ¥19.66 and ¥23.33 at the end of this 3-month period.
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002833.SZ Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at ¥19.69 and ¥21.03. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, May 20, 2024, and so far it has fallen -14.78%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd stock
Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at ¥18.87 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved ¥0.95 between high and low, or 5.01%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.64%.
Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd is oversold on RSI14 (20). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (002833.SZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 21st we expect Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd to open at ¥19.30, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ¥18.35 and ¥19.69, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-¥0.666 (+/-3.50%) up or down from last closing price. If Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.00% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at ¥18.87 (0.79%) than the resistance at ¥20.38 (7.15%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd stock A Buy?
The Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.683 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co Ltd of Friday, June 21, 2024
| Fair opening price June 21, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ¥19.30 ( 1.45%) | ¥19.02 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 002833.SZ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 20.25 | 6.45% |
| R2 | 19.88 | 4.54% |
| R1 | 19.66 | 3.36% |
| Price | 19.02 | |
| S1 | 18.93 | -0.453% |
| S2 | 18.71 | -1.63% |
| S3 | 18.35 | -3.54% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 21.18 | 11.36% |
| R2 | 20.47 | 7.62% |
| R1 | 20.38 | 7.15% |
| Price | 19.02 | |
| S1 | 18.87 | -0.789% |
| S2 | 18.75 | -1.42% |
| S3 | 18.59 | -2.26% |
002833 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 21, 2024 | Jun 21, 2024 | Jun 21, 2024 | ¥0.600 | 3.15% |
| 2 | Oct 11, 2023 | Oct 11, 2023 | Oct 11, 2023 | ¥0.600 | 3.26% |
| 3 | Jun 01, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | ¥0.400 | 2.38% |
| 4 | Jun 23, 2022 | Jun 23, 2022 | Jun 23, 2022 | ¥0.520 | 3.20% |
| 5 | Jun 03, 2021 | Jun 03, 2021 | Jun 03, 2021 | ¥0.408 | 1.61% |
FAQ
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