MTR Corporation Limited Stock Forecast
Green day on Friday for MTR Corporation Limited
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The MTR Corporation Limited stock price gained 0.172% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th May 2024), rising from HK$29.05 to HK$29.10. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.55% from a day low at HK$28.95 to a day high of HK$29.40. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 11.49% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -2 million shares and in total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$135.95 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock has broken the wide and weak rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at HK$27.96, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory HK$32.16 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.
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0066.HK Signals & Forecast
The MTR Corporation Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at HK$28.14 and HK$25.91. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 24.09%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MTR Corporation Limited stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at HK$26.55 and HK$26.00. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, MTR Corporation Limited finds support just below today's level at HK$26.55. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at HK$26.00 and HK$25.70.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.450 between high and low, or 1.55%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.62%.
The MTR Corporation Limited stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (87). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stop-loss: HK$28.00 (-3.80%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. The RSI14 is 87 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 18 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (0066.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect MTR Corporation Limited to open at HK$29.15, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$28.41 and HK$29.79, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.690 (+/-2.37%) up or down from last closing price. If MTR Corporation Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.74% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ HK$26.55, some HK$2.55 (8.76%) from the current price of HK$29.10, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Earnings coming up
MTR Corporation Limited will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. We will update the financials statements for MTR Corporation Limited, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 1.55% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is MTR Corporation Limited stock A Buy?
MTR Corporation Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for MTR Corporation Limited of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
HK$29.15 ( 0.172%) | HK$29.10 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 0066.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 29.60 | 1.72 % | |
R2 | 29.43 | 1.13 % | ||
R1 | 29.32 | 0.763 % | ||
Current price: | 29.10 | |||
Support | S1 | 28.98 | -0.419 % | |
S2 | 28.87 | -0.784 % | ||
S3 | 28.70 | -1.37 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 29.10 | |||
Support | S1 | 26.55 | -8.76% | |
S2 | 26.00 | -10.65% | ||
S3 | 25.70 | -11.68% |
0066 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 24, 2024 | May 24, 2024 | Jul 16, 2024 | HK$0.89 | 3.04% |
2 | May 29, 2023 | May 29, 2023 | May 29, 2023 | HK$0.89 | 2.44% |
3 | Aug 24, 2022 | Aug 24, 2022 | Aug 24, 2022 | HK$0.420 | 1.04% |
4 | May 27, 2022 | May 27, 2022 | May 27, 2022 | HK$1.02 | 2.37% |
5 | Aug 25, 2021 | Aug 25, 2021 | Aug 25, 2021 | HK$0.250 | 0.565% |
FAQ
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