SOHO China Limited Stock Forecast
SOHO China Limited stock upgraded to Strong Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The SOHO China Limited stock price gained 2.67% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from HK$0.750 to HK$0.770. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.00% from a day low at HK$0.750 to a day high of HK$0.780. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 18.46% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -873 thousand shares and in total, 611 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$470.09 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock has broken the wide and horizontal trend up. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately. HK$0.762 is considered to be a "second chance" to hit a potential runner. It is, however, important that volume does follow the price as false breaks may appear and it may move back into the horizontal trend. Based on the rectangle-formation theory the stock is predicted to reach HK$0.88 sometime during the next 3 months.
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0410.HK Signals & Forecast
The SOHO China Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at HK$0.739 and HK$0.678. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, March 28, 2024, and so far it has risen 20.31%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SOHO China Limited stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at HK$0.720 and HK$0.660. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, SOHO China Limited finds support just below today's level at HK$0.720. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at HK$0.660 and HK$0.650.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.0300 between high and low, or 4.00%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.84%.
The SOHO China Limited stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (76). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stop-loss: HK$0.738 (-4.17%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 22 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (0410.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect SOHO China Limited to open at HK$0.767, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$0.734 and HK$0.81, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0359 (+/-4.66%) up or down from last closing price. If SOHO China Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.33% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ HK$0.720, some HK$0.0500 (6.49%) from the current price of HK$0.770, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is SOHO China Limited stock A Buy?
SOHO China Limited holds several positive signals and has broken the wide and horizontal trend up. As the stock is in great technical shape we, therefore, consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Strong Buy candidate.
Current score: 5.011 Strong Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for SOHO China Limited of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
HK$0.767 ( 0.433%) | HK$0.770 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 0410.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0.797 | 3.46 % | |
R2 | 0.785 | 1.97 % | ||
R1 | 0.778 | 1.06 % | ||
Current price: | 0.770 | |||
Support | S1 | 0.755 | -1.92 % | |
S2 | 0.748 | -2.84 % | ||
S3 | 0.737 | -4.33 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 0.770 | |||
Support | S1 | 0.720 | -6.49% | |
S2 | 0.660 | -14.29% | ||
S3 | 0.650 | -15.58% |
0410 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 31, 2019 | May 31, 2019 | May 31, 2019 | HK$0.0341 | 1.39% |
2 | Nov 28, 2017 | Nov 28, 2017 | Nov 28, 2017 | HK$0.677 | 15.15% |
3 | Sep 29, 2017 | Sep 29, 2017 | Sep 29, 2017 | HK$0.410 | 9.17% |
4 | May 31, 2017 | May 31, 2017 | May 31, 2017 | HK$0.392 | 10.05% |
5 | Sep 29, 2016 | Sep 29, 2016 | Sep 29, 2016 | HK$0.221 | 5.03% |
FAQ
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