Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical stock price gained 4.78% on the last trading day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024), rising from HK$20.90 to HK$21.90. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.78% from a day low at HK$20.90 to a day high of HK$21.90. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 10.16% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -547 thousand shares and in total, 286 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$6.26 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock has broken the wide and horizontal trend up. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately. HK$21.66 is considered to be a "second chance" to hit a potential runner. It is, however, important that volume does follow the price as false breaks may appear and it may move back into the horizontal trend. Based on the rectangle-formation theory the stock is predicted to reach HK$24.86 sometime during the next 3 months.
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0874.HK Signals & Forecast
The Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at HK$20.96 and HK$20.14. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 05, 2024, and so far it has risen 18.51%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at HK$20.50 and HK$20.10. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical finds support just below today's level at HK$20.50. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at HK$20.10 and HK$19.24.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved HK$1.00 between high and low, or 4.78%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.94%.
The Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (84). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stop-loss: HK$21.01 (-4.08%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 84 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 18 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (0874.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited to open at HK$21.57, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$21.39 and HK$22.41, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.505 (+/-2.31%) up or down from last closing price. If Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.61% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ HK$20.50, some HK$1.40 (6.39%) from the current price of HK$21.90, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited stock A Buy?
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited of Friday, May 3, 2024
Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
HK$21.57 ( 1.52%) | HK$21.90 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 0874.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 22.57 | 3.04 % | |
R2 | 22.18 | 1.30 % | ||
R1 | 21.95 | 0.222 % | ||
Current price: | 21.90 | |||
Support | S1 | 21.18 | -3.27 % | |
S2 | 20.95 | -4.34 % | ||
S3 | 20.57 | -6.09 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 21.90 | |||
Support | S1 | 20.50 | -6.39% | |
S2 | 20.10 | -8.22% | ||
S3 | 19.24 | -12.15% |
0874 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jun 14, 2023 | Jun 14, 2023 | Jun 14, 2023 | HK$0.81 | 3.36% |
2 | Jun 10, 2022 | Jun 10, 2022 | Jun 10, 2022 | HK$0.81 | 3.67% |
3 | Jun 21, 2021 | Jun 21, 2021 | Jun 21, 2021 | HK$0.655 | 3.06% |
4 | Jul 15, 2020 | Jul 15, 2020 | Jul 15, 2020 | HK$0.645 | 2.71% |
5 | Jul 15, 2019 | Jul 15, 2019 | Jul 15, 2019 | HK$0.483 | 1.35% |
FAQ
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