Adobe Inc Stock Forecast

Adobe Inc stock upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on Jun 25, 2024)

0R2Y.L Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.516%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. The Adobe Inc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately £524.12. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately £482.83. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, May 13, 2024 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Adobe Inc stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at £484.20 and £471.78. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Adobe Inc finds support just below today's level at £484.20. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at £471.78 and £467.93.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved £7.04 between high and low, or 1.35%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.43%.

The Adobe Inc stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: £509.21 (-2.84%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. The RSI14 is 86 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 14 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (0R2Y.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 26th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 26th we expect Adobe Inc to open at £525.27, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £509.71 and £538.49, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£14.39 (+/-2.75%) up or down from last closing price. If Adobe Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.49% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at £524.65 (0.10%) than the support at £484.20 (7.61%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Adobe Inc stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Adobe Inc stock to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.690 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Opening Price for Adobe Inc of Wednesday, June 26, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.