China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Jun 20, 2024)
The China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited stock price fell by -0.526% on the last day (Thursday, 20th Jun 2024) from HK$0.190 to HK$0.189. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.532% from a day low at HK$0.188 to a day high of HK$0.189. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.08% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -451 thousand shares and in total, 51 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$9.64 thousand.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited stock with a 90% probability to be traded between HK$0.173 and HK$0.193 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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1432.HK Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at HK$0.195. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at HK$0.183. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 19, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.526%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited stock
China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited finds support from accumulated volume at HK$0.188 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.0010 between high and low, or 0.532%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.32%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (1432.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 21st we expect China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited to open at HK$0.189, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$0.184 and HK$0.194, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0053 (+/-2.80%) up or down from last closing price. If China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.60% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at HK$0.188 (0.53%) than the resistance at HK$0.197 (4.23%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited stock A Buy?
China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.857 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited of Friday, June 21, 2024
Fair opening price June 21, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
HK$0.189 ( 0.176%) | HK$0.189 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 1432.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 0.190 | 0.353% |
R2 | 0.189 | 0.151% |
R1 | 0.189 | 0.0257% |
Price | 0.189 | |
S1 | 0.188 | -0.378% |
S2 | 0.188 | -0.503% |
S3 | 0.188 | -0.705% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 0.203 | 7.41% |
R2 | 0.200 | 5.82% |
R1 | 0.197 | 4.23% |
Price | 0.189 | |
S1 | 0.188 | -0.529% |
S2 | 0.186 | -1.59% |
S3 | 0.179 | -5.29% |
1432 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jun 18, 2024 | Jun 18, 2024 | Jul 05, 2024 | HK$0.0023 | 1.22% |
2 | Jun 19, 2023 | Jun 19, 2023 | Jun 19, 2023 | HK$0.0113 | 3.05% |
FAQ
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