REF Holdings Limited Stock Forecast
A very red day for REF Holdings Limited stock price after a -6.94% fall in the Friday trading session
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The REF Holdings Limited stock price fell by -6.94% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from HK$0.360 to HK$0.335. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0% from a day low at HK$0.335 to a day high of HK$0.335. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.52% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -45 thousand shares and in total, 15 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$5.03 thousand.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at HK$0.341 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -11.96% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$0.239 and HK$0.301 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
1631.HK Signals & Forecast
The REF Holdings Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately HK$0.344. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately HK$0.335. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 02, 2024, and so far it has fallen -8.22%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for REF Holdings Limited stock
REF Holdings Limited finds support from accumulated volume at HK$0.330 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved HK$0 between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (1631.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect REF Holdings Limited to open at HK$0.335, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$0.326 and HK$0.344, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0090 (+/-2.67%) up or down from last closing price. If REF Holdings Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.35% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at HK$0.340 (1.49%) than the support at HK$0.330 (1.49%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is REF Holdings Limited stock A Buy?
REF Holdings Limited holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.040 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for REF Holdings Limited of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
HK$0.335 ( 0%) | HK$0.335 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 1631.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0.335 | . | |
R2 | 0.335 | . | ||
R1 | 0.335 | . | ||
Current price: | 0.335 | |||
Support | S1 | 0.335 | . | |
S2 | 0.335 | . | ||
S3 | 0.335 | . |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0.355 | 5.97 % | |
R2 | 0.345 | 2.99 % | ||
R1 | 0.340 | 1.49 % | ||
Current price | 0.335 | |||
Support | S1 | 0.330 | -1.49% | |
S2 | 0.325 | -2.99% | ||
S3 | 0.315 | -5.97% |
1631 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 18, 2023 | Apr 18, 2023 | Apr 18, 2023 | HK$0.150 | 36.59% |
2 | May 03, 2022 | May 03, 2022 | May 03, 2022 | HK$0.200 | 33.90% |
3 | Apr 28, 2021 | Apr 28, 2021 | Apr 28, 2021 | HK$0.300 | 50.00% |
4 | Aug 21, 2020 | Sep 07, 2020 | Sep 15, 2020 | HK$0.200 | 48.19% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy REF Holdings Limited Stock.