Intron Technology Holdings Limited Stock Forecast
Evaluation of Intron Technology Holdings Limited stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The Intron Technology Holdings Limited stock price fell by -1.40% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from HK$2.14 to HK$2.11. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.33% from a day low at HK$2.08 to a day high of HK$2.17. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still up by 1.93% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 58 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 460 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$970.60 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.57% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$1.47 and HK$1.95 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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1760.HK Signals & Forecast
The Intron Technology Holdings Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately HK$2.11. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately HK$1.96. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 08, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.86%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Intron Technology Holdings Limited gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Intron Technology Holdings Limited stock
Intron Technology Holdings Limited finds support from accumulated volume at HK$2.08 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.0900 between high and low, or 4.33%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.58%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (1760.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Intron Technology Holdings Limited to open at HK$2.12, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$2.02 and HK$2.20, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0921 (+/-4.37%) up or down from last closing price. If Intron Technology Holdings Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.73% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at HK$2.08 (1.42%) than the resistance at HK$2.24 (6.16%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Intron Technology Holdings Limited stock A Buy?
Intron Technology Holdings Limited holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.080 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Intron Technology Holdings Limited of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
HK$2.12 ( 0.474%) | HK$2.11 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 1760.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 2.21 | 4.74 % | |
R2 | 2.18 | 3.11 % | ||
R1 | 2.15 | 2.10 % | ||
Current price: | 2.11 | |||
Support | S1 | 2.09 | -1.16 % | |
S2 | 2.06 | -2.16 % | ||
S3 | 2.03 | -3.79 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 2.40 | 13.74 % | |
R2 | 2.26 | 7.11 % | ||
R1 | 2.24 | 6.16 % | ||
Current price | 2.11 | |||
Support | S1 | 2.08 | -1.42% | |
S2 | 2.07 | -1.90% | ||
S3 | 1.94 | -8.06% |
1760 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 29, 2024 | May 29, 2024 | Jul 02, 2024 | HK$0.0980 | 4.60% |
2 | Jun 01, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | HK$0.131 | 3.04% |
3 | Jun 01, 2022 | Jun 01, 2022 | Jun 01, 2022 | HK$0.0680 | 1.97% |
4 | Jun 02, 2021 | Jun 02, 2021 | Jun 02, 2021 | HK$0.0320 | 0.678% |
5 | Mar 26, 2020 | Jun 02, 2020 | Jul 02, 2020 | HK$0.0380 | 1.67% |
FAQ
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