China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. Stock Forecast
China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on May 14, 2024)
The China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. stock price fell by -1.01% on the last day (Tuesday, 14th May 2024) from HK$2.98 to HK$2.95. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.04% from a day low at HK$2.94 to a day high of HK$3.00. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.08% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -11 million shares and in total, 13 million shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$38.52 million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at HK$2.99 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.99% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$2.86 and HK$3.14 at the end of this 3-month period.
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1988.HK Signals & Forecast
The China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at HK$2.90 and HK$2.80. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 10, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.34%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, January 24, 2024 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, January 24, 2024 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at HK$2.78 and HK$2.76. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. finds support just below today's level at HK$2.78. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at HK$2.76 and HK$2.73.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.0600 (2.04%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.29%.
Our recommended stop-loss: HK$2.83 (-4.12%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (1988.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 16th we expect China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. to open at HK$2.96, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$2.89 and HK$3.01, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0572 (+/-1.94%) up or down from last closing price. If China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.88% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at HK$2.98 (1.02%) than the support at HK$2.78 (5.76%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.303 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. of Thursday, May 16, 2024
Fair opening price May 16, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
HK$2.96 ( 0.452%) | HK$2.95 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 1988.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 3.02 | 2.49 % | |
R2 | 3.00 | 1.71 % | ||
R1 | 2.99 | 1.23 % | ||
Current price: | 2.95 | |||
Support | S1 | 2.94 | -0.325 % | |
S2 | 2.93 | -0.80 % | ||
S3 | 2.90 | -1.58 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 2.99 | 1.36 % | ||
R1 | 2.98 | 1.02 % | ||
Current price | 2.95 | |||
Support | S1 | 2.78 | -5.76% | |
S2 | 2.76 | -6.44% | ||
S3 | 2.73 | -7.46% |
1988 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jun 13, 2023 | Jun 13, 2023 | Jun 13, 2023 | HK$0.236 | 8.16% |
2 | Jun 15, 2022 | Jun 15, 2022 | Jun 15, 2022 | HK$0.250 | 9.01% |
3 | Jun 16, 2021 | Jun 16, 2021 | Jun 16, 2021 | HK$0.259 | 6.79% |
4 | Jul 02, 2020 | Jul 02, 2020 | Jul 02, 2020 | HK$0.405 | 8.05% |
5 | Jun 25, 2019 | Jun 25, 2019 | Jun 25, 2019 | HK$0.393 | 7.34% |
FAQ
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