Li Auto Inc. Stock Forecast
Li Auto Inc. stock price down 1.50% on Thursday
(Updated on Jun 27, 2024)
The Li Auto Inc. stock price fell by -1.50% on the last day (Thursday, 27th Jun 2024) from HK$73.30 to HK$72.20. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.70% from a day low at HK$71.70 to a day high of HK$74.35. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.96% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -955 thousand shares and in total, 8 million shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$564.32 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -13.26% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$58.28 and HK$64.14 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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2015.HK Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 21, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.41%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Li Auto Inc. stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at HK$75.66. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at HK$71.50. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Li Auto Inc. stock
Li Auto Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at HK$71.15 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved HK$2.65 between high and low, or 3.70%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.29%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (2015.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 28th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 28th we expect Li Auto Inc. to open at HK$72.75, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$69.38 and HK$75.02, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$2.82 (+/-3.91%) up or down from last closing price. If Li Auto Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.82% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at HK$71.15 (1.45%) than the resistance at HK$75.85 (5.06%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Li Auto Inc. stock A Buy?
Li Auto Inc. holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.935 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Li Auto Inc. of Friday, June 28, 2024
| Fair opening price June 28, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| HK$72.75 ( 0.762%) | HK$72.20 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 2015.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 75.40 | 4.43% |
| R2 | 74.39 | 3.03% |
| R1 | 73.76 | 2.16% |
| Price | 72.20 | |
| S1 | 71.74 | -0.640% |
| S2 | 71.11 | -1.51% |
| S3 | 70.10 | -2.91% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 78.15 | 8.24% |
| R2 | 78.10 | 8.17% |
| R1 | 75.85 | 5.06% |
| Price | 72.20 | |
| S1 | 71.15 | -1.45% |
| S2 | 70.45 | -2.42% |
| S3 | 69.15 | -4.22% |
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