Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Big movements in Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd stock price on Friday moving 12.78% between high and low
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd stock price fell by -2.67% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from HK$1.50 to HK$1.46. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 12.78% from a day low at HK$1.33 to a day high of HK$1.50. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -20.65% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 368 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 373 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$544.87 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at HK$1.41 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -25.33% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$1.05 and HK$1.41 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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2163.HK Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, June 25, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.39%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at HK$1.59 and HK$1.92. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd stock
Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at HK$1.44 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.170 between high and low, or 12.78%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 12.85%.
Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd is oversold on RSI14 (16). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (2163.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 2nd we expect Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd to open at HK$1.43, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$1.34 and HK$1.58, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.123 (+/-8.45%) up or down from last closing price. If Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 16.91% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at HK$1.44 (1.37%) than the resistance at HK$1.50 (2.74%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd stock A Buy?
Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.761 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Changsha Broad Homes Indstrl Grp Co Ltd of Tuesday, July 2, 2024
| Fair opening price July 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| HK$1.43 ( 2.05%) | HK$1.46 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 2163.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 1.60 | 9.59% |
| R2 | 1.54 | 5.14% |
| R1 | 1.49 | 2.39% |
| Price | 1.46 | |
| S1 | 1.37 | -6.50% |
| S2 | 1.32 | -9.25% |
| S3 | 1.26 | -13.70% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 1.80 | 23.29% |
| R2 | 1.64 | 12.33% |
| R1 | 1.50 | 2.74% |
| Price | 1.46 | |
| S1 | 1.44 | -1.37% |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
2163 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 26, 2020 | May 19, 2020 | Jun 24, 2020 | HK$0.547 | 4.21% |
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