CAICA Inc. Stock Forecast
CAICA Inc. stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 24, 2024)
The CAICA Inc. stock price fell by -1.54% on the last day (Friday, 24th May 2024) from JP¥65.00 to JP¥64.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.13% from a day low at JP¥64.00 to a day high of JP¥66.00. The price has risen in 4 of the last 10 days and is up by 14.29% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -6 million shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥96.54 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.46% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥44.06 and JP¥69.73 at the end of this 3-month period.
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2315.T Signals & Forecast
The CAICA Inc. stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately JP¥64.57. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately JP¥55.94. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 22, 2024, and so far it has fallen -12.33%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for CAICA Inc. stock
CAICA Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥61.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved JP¥2.00 between high and low, or 3.13%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 8.83%.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥60.40 (-5.62%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 33 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (2315.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 27th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 27th we expect CAICA Inc. to open at JP¥64.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥59.63 and JP¥68.37, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥4.37 (+/-6.84%) up or down from last closing price. If CAICA Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 13.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥65.00 (1.56%) than the support at JP¥61.00 (4.69%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is CAICA Inc. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.837 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for CAICA Inc. of Monday, May 27, 2024
Fair opening price May 27, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
JP¥64.67 ( 1.04%) | JP¥64.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 2315.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 66.67 | 4.17 % | |
R2 | 65.90 | 2.97 % | ||
R1 | 65.43 | 2.24 % | ||
Current price: | 64.00 | |||
Support | S1 | 63.90 | -0.152 % | |
S2 | 63.43 | -0.89 % | ||
S3 | 62.67 | -2.08 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 76.00 | 18.75 % | |
R2 | 73.00 | 14.06 % | ||
R1 | 65.00 | 1.56 % | ||
Current price | 64.00 | |||
Support | S1 | 61.00 | -4.69% | |
S2 | 54.00 | -15.63% | ||
S3 | 51.00 | -20.31% |
2315 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 27, 2014 | Mar 27, 2014 | Mar 27, 2014 | JP¥200.00 | 25.00% |
2 | Mar 27, 2013 | Mar 27, 2013 | Mar 27, 2013 | JP¥20.00 | 1.98% |
3 | Mar 29, 2011 | Mar 29, 2011 | Mar 29, 2011 | JP¥20.00 | 1.43% |
4 | Mar 29, 2010 | Mar 29, 2010 | Mar 29, 2010 | JP¥10.00 | 0.464% |
FAQ
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