KCTech Co., Ltd. Stock Forecast
KCTech Co., Ltd. stock price fell more than -6.96% Friday closing at ₩44,800.00
(Updated on Jun 21, 2024)
The KCTech Co., Ltd. stock price fell by -6.96% on the last day (Friday, 21st Jun 2024) from ₩48,150.00 to ₩44,800.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.09% from a day low at ₩43,700.00 to a day high of ₩46,800.00. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.28% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -345 thousand shares and in total, 397 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₩17.79 billion.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.73% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₩35,002.29 and ₩49,976.60 at the end of this 3-month period.
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281820.KS Signals & Forecast
The KCTech Co., Ltd. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at ₩44,735.71 and ₩38,884.29. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 20, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.96%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for KCTech Co., Ltd. stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at ₩42,400.00 and ₩41,150.00. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, KCTech Co., Ltd. finds support just below today's level at ₩42,400.00. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at ₩41,150.00 and ₩37,200.00.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved ₩3,100.00 between high and low, or 7.09%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.97%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₩42,910.97 (-4.22%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 24 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (281820.KS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 24th we expect KCTech Co., Ltd. to open at ₩45,100.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₩42,182.10 and ₩47,417.90, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₩2,617.90 (+/-5.84%) up or down from last closing price. If KCTech Co., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.69% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₩45,350.00 (1.23%) than the support at ₩42,400.00 (5.36%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is KCTech Co., Ltd. stock A Buy?
KCTech Co., Ltd. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.887 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for KCTech Co., Ltd. of Monday, June 24, 2024
| Fair opening price June 24, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ₩45,100.00 ( 0.670%) | ₩44,800.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 281820.KS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 48,200.00 | 7.59% |
| R2 | 47,015.80 | 4.95% |
| R1 | 46,284.20 | 3.31% |
| Price | 44,800.00 | |
| S1 | 43,915.80 | -1.97% |
| S2 | 43,184.20 | -3.61% |
| S3 | 42,000.00 | -6.25% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 48,150.00 | 7.48% |
| R2 | 45,400.00 | 1.34% |
| R1 | 45,350.00 | 1.23% |
| Price | 44,800.00 | |
| S1 | 42,400.00 | -5.36% |
| S2 | 41,150.00 | -8.15% |
| S3 | 37,200.00 | -16.96% |
281820 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 27, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | Apr 15, 2024 | ₩250.00 | 0.602% |
| 2 | Dec 28, 2022 | Dec 28, 2022 | Dec 28, 2022 | ₩250.00 | 1.63% |
| 3 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | ₩220.00 | 0.92% |
| 4 | Dec 29, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | ₩220.00 | 0.717% |
| 5 | Dec 27, 2019 | Dec 27, 2019 | Dec 27, 2019 | ₩200.00 | 0.86% |
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