Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Volatile ride for Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. stock price on Friday moving between ¥8.62 and ¥9.66
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. stock price gained 2.30% on the last trading day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024), rising from ¥9.12 to ¥9.33. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 12.06% from a day low at ¥8.62 to a day high of ¥9.66. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 15.47% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -8 million shares and in total, 101 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ¥944.87 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.14% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ¥8.20 and ¥10.00 at the end of this 3-month period.
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300319.SZ Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at ¥8.74 and ¥8.08. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 30.67%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. stock
Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at ¥9.12 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved ¥1.04 between high and low, or 12.06%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 9.27%.
The Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: ¥9.07 (-2.80%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 85 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 65 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (300319.SZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. to open at ¥9.20, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ¥8.75 and ¥9.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-¥0.584 (+/-6.26%) up or down from last closing price. If Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 12.53% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ ¥9.12, some ¥0.210 (2.25%) from the current price of ¥9.33, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. stock A Buy?
Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. holds several positive signals and is within a weak rising trend. As the old saying says, "Let the trend be your friend.'". We therefore consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Strong Buy candidate.
Current score: 6.655 Strong Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. of Monday, July 1, 2024
| Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ¥9.20 ( 1.36%) | ¥9.33 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 300319.SZ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 10.24 | 9.79% |
| R2 | 9.85 | 5.53% |
| R1 | 9.60 | 2.90% |
| Price | 9.33 | |
| S1 | 8.81 | -5.62% |
| S2 | 8.56 | -8.25% |
| S3 | 8.16 | -12.50% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0 | - |
| R2 | 0 | - |
| R1 | 0 | - |
| Price | 9.33 | |
| S1 | 9.12 | -2.25% |
| S2 | 8.65 | -7.29% |
| S3 | 8.62 | -7.61% |
300319 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 18, 2024 | Jun 18, 2024 | Jun 18, 2024 | ¥0.0937 | 1.09% |
| 2 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | ¥0.127 | 1.42% |
| 3 | Jun 17, 2022 | Jun 17, 2022 | Jun 17, 2022 | ¥0.0601 | 0.680% |
| 4 | Jun 19, 2017 | Jun 19, 2017 | Jun 19, 2017 | ¥0.0464 | 0.454% |
| 5 | Jul 05, 2016 | Jul 05, 2016 | Jul 05, 2016 | ¥0.0274 | 0.271% |
FAQ
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