GLP J-REIT Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
GLP J-REIT stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The GLP J-REIT stock price fell by -0.450% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from JP¥133,300.00 to JP¥132,700.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.53% from a day low at JP¥131,100.00 to a day high of JP¥133,100.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.71% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -445 shares and in total, 24 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥3.23 billion.
The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 11.79% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥142,523.72 and JP¥151,166.98 at the end of this 3-month period.
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3281.T Signals & Forecast
The GLP J-REIT stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately JP¥133,428.57. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately JP¥128,228.57. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 14, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.34%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for GLP J-REIT stock
GLP J-REIT finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥129,700.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥2,000.00 between high and low, or 1.53%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.68%.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥127,027.05 (-4.28%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (3281.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect GLP J-REIT to open at JP¥132,300.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥130,226.47 and JP¥135,173.53, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥2,473.53 (+/-1.86%) up or down from last closing price. If GLP J-REIT takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.73% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥132,900.00 (0.15%) than the support at JP¥129,700.00 (2.26%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is GLP J-REIT stock A Buy?
GLP J-REIT holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.413 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for GLP J-REIT of Monday, May 20, 2024
| Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥132,300.00 ( 0.301%) | JP¥132,700.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 3281.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 134,300.00 | 1.21 % | |
| R2 | 133,536.00 | 0.630 % | ||
| R1 | 133,064.00 | 0.274 % | ||
| Current price: | 132,700.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 131,536.00 | -0.88 % | |
| S2 | 131,064.00 | -1.23 % | ||
| S3 | 130,300.00 | -1.81 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 133,900.00 | 0.90 % | |
| R2 | 133,300.00 | 0.452 % | ||
| R1 | 132,900.00 | 0.151 % | ||
| Current price | 132,700.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 129,700.00 | -2.26% | |
| S2 | 120,700.00 | -9.04% | ||
| S3 | 118,900.00 | -10.40% |
3281 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29, 2024 | Aug 29, 2024 | Nov 01, 2024 | JP¥2,885.00 | 2.17% |
| 2 | Feb 28, 2024 | Feb 28, 2024 | Feb 28, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 3 | Aug 30, 2023 | Aug 30, 2023 | Aug 30, 2023 | JP¥3,199.00 | 2.32% |
| 4 | Feb 27, 2023 | Feb 27, 2023 | Feb 27, 2023 | JP¥3,134.00 | 2.17% |
| 5 | Aug 30, 2022 | Aug 30, 2022 | Aug 30, 2022 | JP¥3,051.00 | 1.78% |
FAQ
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