Arara Inc. Stock Forecast
Arara Inc. stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Arara Inc. stock price fell by -1.16% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from JP¥516.00 to JP¥510.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.22% from a day low at JP¥498.00 to a day high of JP¥519.00. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 17.78% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -108 thousand shares and in total, 118 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥60.38 million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at JP¥516.92 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.65% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥450.25 and JP¥540.93 at the end of this 3-month period.
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4015.T Signals & Forecast
The Arara Inc. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at JP¥476.57 and JP¥456.73. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.16%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Arara Inc. stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at JP¥481.00 and JP¥456.00. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Arara Inc. finds support just below today's level at JP¥481.00. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at JP¥456.00 and JP¥455.00.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥21.00 between high and low, or 4.22%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.31%.
The Arara Inc. stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥490.44 (-3.84%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 71 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 9 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (4015.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Arara Inc. to open at JP¥509.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥486.44 and JP¥533.56, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥23.56 (+/-4.62%) up or down from last closing price. If Arara Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.24% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥516.00 (1.18%) than the support at JP¥481.00 (5.69%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Arara Inc. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Arara Inc. stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.179 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Arara Inc. of Monday, July 1, 2024
| Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥509.00 ( 0.196%) | JP¥510.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 4015.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 530.00 | 3.92% |
| R2 | 521.98 | 2.35% |
| R1 | 517.02 | 1.38% |
| Price | 510.00 | |
| S1 | 500.98 | -1.77% |
| S2 | 496.02 | -2.74% |
| S3 | 488.00 | -4.31% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0 | - |
| R2 | 0 | - |
| R1 | 516.00 | 1.18% |
| Price | 510.00 | |
| S1 | 481.00 | -5.69% |
| S2 | 456.00 | -10.59% |
| S3 | 455.00 | -10.78% |
FAQ
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