M - mart Inc. Stock Forecast
M - mart Inc. stock upgraded from Strong Sell Candidate to Sell Candidate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The M - mart Inc. stock price fell by -1.67% on the last day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024) from JP¥1,195.00 to JP¥1,175.00. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.79% from a day low at JP¥1,174.00 to a day high of JP¥1,195.00. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.3% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 thousand shares and in total, 5 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥5.88 million.
The stock has broken the falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point (JP¥1,244.87) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory JP¥1,171.38 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.
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4380.T Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The M - mart Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥1,219.57 and JP¥1,299.80. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 05, 2024, and so far it has fallen -12.31%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for M - mart Inc. stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥21.00 between high and low, or 1.79%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.66%.
M - mart Inc. is oversold on RSI14 (16). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (4380.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect M - mart Inc. to open at JP¥1,181.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥1,139.09 and JP¥1,210.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥35.91 (+/-3.06%) up or down from last closing price. If M - mart Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.11% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ JP¥1,267.00, some JP¥92.00 (7.83%) from the current price of JP¥1,175.00, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is M - mart Inc. stock A Buy?
M - mart Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.421 Sell Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for M - mart Inc. of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥1,181.33 ( 0.539%) | JP¥1,175.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 4380.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 1,202.33 | 2.33% |
| R2 | 1,194.31 | 1.64% |
| R1 | 1,189.36 | 1.22% |
| Price | 1,175.00 | |
| S1 | 1,173.31 | -0.144% |
| S2 | 1,168.36 | -0.566% |
| S3 | 1,160.33 | -1.25% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 1,338.00 | 13.87% |
| R2 | 1,308.00 | 11.32% |
| R1 | 1,267.00 | 7.83% |
| Price | 1,175.00 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
4380 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 30, 2025 | Jan 30, 2025 | Jan 30, 2025 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 2 | Jan 30, 2024 | Jan 30, 2024 | Apr 24, 2024 | JP¥16.00 | 1.18% |
| 3 | Jan 30, 2023 | Jan 30, 2023 | Jan 30, 2023 | JP¥13.00 | 1.08% |
| 4 | Jan 28, 2022 | Jan 28, 2022 | Jan 28, 2022 | JP¥10.00 | 1.41% |
| 5 | Jan 28, 2021 | Jan 28, 2021 | Jan 28, 2021 | JP¥10.00 | 1.02% |
FAQ
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