ALPHA SYSTEMS INC. Stock Forecast
ALPHA SYSTEMS INC. stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The ALPHA SYSTEMS INC. stock price gained 1.13% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from JP¥3,110.00 to JP¥3,145.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.27% from a day low at JP¥3,060.00 to a day high of JP¥3,160.00. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.82% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 3 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 9 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥29.25 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at JP¥3,108.10 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.28% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥3,006.05 and JP¥3,300.59 at the end of this 3-month period.
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4719.T Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The ALPHA SYSTEMS INC. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥3,164.29 and JP¥3,244.29. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 25, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.13%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ALPHA SYSTEMS INC. stock
ALPHA SYSTEMS INC. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥3,130.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥100.00 between high and low, or 3.27%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.06%.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥2,965.98 (-5.69%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (4719.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 30th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 30th we expect ALPHA SYSTEMS INC. to open at JP¥3,121.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥3,068.56 and JP¥3,221.44, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥76.44 (+/-2.43%) up or down from last closing price. If ALPHA SYSTEMS INC. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.86% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at JP¥3,130.00 (0.48%) than the resistance at JP¥3,270.00 (3.97%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is ALPHA SYSTEMS INC. stock A Buy?
ALPHA SYSTEMS INC. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.648 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for ALPHA SYSTEMS INC. of Tuesday, April 30, 2024
| Fair opening price April 30, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥3,121.67 ( 0.742%) | JP¥3,145.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 4719.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3,221.67 | 2.44 % | |
| R2 | 3,183.47 | 1.22 % | ||
| R1 | 3,159.87 | 0.473 % | ||
| Current price: | 3,145.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3,083.47 | -1.96 % | |
| S2 | 3,059.87 | -2.71 % | ||
| S3 | 3,021.67 | -3.92 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3,495.00 | 11.13 % | |
| R2 | 3,490.00 | 10.97 % | ||
| R1 | 3,270.00 | 3.97 % | ||
| Current price | 3,145.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3,130.00 | -0.477% | |
| S2 | 3,100.00 | -1.43% | ||
| S3 | 3,080.00 | -2.07% |
4719 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 2 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | JP¥35.00 | 0.85% |
| 3 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | JP¥35.00 | 0.84% |
| 4 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | JP¥30.00 | 0.702% |
| 5 | Sep 29, 2021 | Sep 29, 2021 | Sep 29, 2021 | JP¥25.00 | 0.600% |
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