China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. Stock Forecast
China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 04, 2024)
The China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. stock price fell by -0.259% on the last day (Thursday, 4th Jul 2024) from $3.86 to $3.85. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.04% from a day low at $3.84 to a day high of $3.88. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.22% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -19 million shares and in total, 117 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $449.48 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $3.86 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -6.20% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $3.42 and $3.62 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
600016.SS Signals & Forecast
The China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $3.81 and $3.84. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, July 02, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.517%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. stock
China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at $3.79 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0400 between high and low, or 1.04%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.37%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (600016.SS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 5th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 5th we expect China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. to open at $3.86, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.80 and $3.90, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0525 (+/-1.36%) up or down from last closing price. If China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.73% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $3.90 (1.30%) than the support at $3.79 (1.56%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. stock A Buy?
China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.362 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. of Friday, July 5, 2024
| Fair opening price July 5, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $3.86 ( 0.173%) | $3.85 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 600016.SS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 3.90 | 1.21% |
| R2 | 3.88 | 0.82% |
| R1 | 3.87 | 0.570% |
| Price | 3.85 | |
| S1 | 3.84 | -0.224% |
| S2 | 3.83 | -0.469% |
| S3 | 3.82 | -0.87% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 3.98 | 3.38% |
| R2 | 3.91 | 1.56% |
| R1 | 3.90 | 1.30% |
| Price | 3.85 | |
| S1 | 3.79 | -1.56% |
| S2 | 3.77 | -2.08% |
| S3 | 3.73 | -3.12% |
600016 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 26, 2023 | Jun 26, 2023 | Jun 26, 2023 | $0.214 | 5.83% |
| 2 | Jun 24, 2022 | Jun 24, 2022 | Jun 24, 2022 | $0.213 | 5.76% |
| 3 | Jun 24, 2021 | Jun 24, 2021 | Jun 24, 2021 | $0.213 | 4.80% |
| 4 | Jul 13, 2020 | Jul 13, 2020 | Jul 13, 2020 | $0.370 | 6.32% |
| 5 | Jul 05, 2019 | Jul 05, 2019 | Jul 05, 2019 | $0.345 | 5.67% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. Stock.
