China Telecom Corporation Limited Stock Forecast
China Telecom Corporation Limited stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The China Telecom Corporation Limited stock price gained 2.84% on the last trading day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024), rising from $5.98 to $6.15. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.36% from a day low at $5.96 to a day high of $6.16. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.33% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -18 million shares and in total, 171 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.05 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.31% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $5.39 and $5.88 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
601728.SS Signals & Forecast
The China Telecom Corporation Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $5.89 and $5.89. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 8.27%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for China Telecom Corporation Limited stock
China Telecom Corporation Limited finds support from accumulated volume at $5.95 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.200 between high and low, or 3.36%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.08%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $5.95 (-3.28%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 48 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (601728.SS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect China Telecom Corporation Limited to open at $6.09, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $6.04 and $6.26, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.107 (+/-1.75%) up or down from last closing price. If China Telecom Corporation Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.49% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $6.21 (0.98%) than the support at $5.95 (3.25%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is China Telecom Corporation Limited stock A Buy?
China Telecom Corporation Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for China Telecom Corporation Limited of Monday, July 1, 2024
| Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $6.09 ( 0.98%) | $6.15 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 601728.SS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 6.29 | 2.28% |
| R2 | 6.21 | 1.03% |
| R1 | 6.17 | 0.267% |
| Price | 6.15 | |
| S1 | 6.01 | -2.22% |
| S2 | 5.97 | -2.99% |
| S3 | 5.89 | -4.23% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 6.33 | 2.93% |
| R2 | 6.24 | 1.46% |
| R1 | 6.21 | 0.98% |
| Price | 6.15 | |
| S1 | 5.95 | -3.25% |
| S2 | 5.94 | -3.41% |
| S3 | 5.89 | -4.23% |
601728 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 13, 2024 | Jun 13, 2024 | Jun 13, 2024 | $0.0900 | 1.56% |
| 2 | Aug 31, 2023 | Aug 31, 2023 | Aug 31, 2023 | $0.143 | 2.49% |
| 3 | Jun 09, 2023 | Jun 09, 2023 | Jun 09, 2023 | $0.0760 | 1.17% |
| 4 | Sep 08, 2022 | Sep 08, 2022 | Sep 08, 2022 | $0.120 | 3.20% |
| 5 | Jun 08, 2022 | Jun 08, 2022 | Jun 08, 2022 | $0.170 | 4.55% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy China Telecom Corporation Limited Stock.
