THK CO.,LTD. Stock Forecast
Evaluation of THK CO.,LTD. stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The THK CO.,LTD. stock price fell by -1.59% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from JP¥2,920.00 to JP¥2,873.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.43% from a day low at JP¥2,860.50 to a day high of JP¥2,930.00. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.05% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 55 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 731 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥2.10 billion.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -21.71% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥2,125.70 and JP¥2,371.35 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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6481.T Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.26%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The THK CO.,LTD. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥2,893.64 and JP¥3,032.96. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for THK CO.,LTD. stock
THK CO.,LTD. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥2,845.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥69.50 between high and low, or 2.43%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.93%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (6481.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect THK CO.,LTD. to open at JP¥2,888.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥2,804.48 and JP¥2,942.52, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥69.02 (+/-2.40%) up or down from last closing price. If THK CO.,LTD. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.80% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥2,890.00 (0.57%) than the support at JP¥2,845.00 (0.99%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is THK CO.,LTD. stock A Buy?
THK CO.,LTD. holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.478 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for THK CO.,LTD. of Monday, July 1, 2024
| Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥2,888.00 ( 0.505%) | JP¥2,873.50 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 6481.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 2,957.50 | 2.92% |
| R2 | 2,930.95 | 2.00% |
| R1 | 2,914.55 | 1.43% |
| Price | 2,873.50 | |
| S1 | 2,861.45 | -0.419% |
| S2 | 2,845.05 | -0.99% |
| S3 | 2,818.50 | -1.91% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 3,266.00 | 13.66% |
| R2 | 3,257.00 | 13.35% |
| R1 | 2,890.00 | 0.574% |
| Price | 2,873.50 | |
| S1 | 2,845.00 | -0.99% |
| S2 | 2,835.00 | -1.34% |
| S3 | 2,810.00 | -2.21% |
6481 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 27, 2024 | Jun 27, 2024 | Sep 01, 2024 | JP¥11.00 | 0.383% |
| 2 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Mar 01, 2024 | JP¥9.00 | 0.268% |
| 3 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | Sep 12, 2023 | JP¥30.00 | 1.10% |
| 4 | Dec 29, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | JP¥50.00 | 2.00% |
| 5 | Jun 29, 2022 | Jun 29, 2022 | Jun 29, 2022 | JP¥37.00 | 1.43% |
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