AIPHONE CO.,LTD. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
AIPHONE CO.,LTD. stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on May 21, 2024)
The AIPHONE CO.,LTD. stock price fell by -0.582% on the last day (Tuesday, 21st May 2024) from JP¥2,923.00 to JP¥2,906.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.76% from a day low at JP¥2,904.00 to a day high of JP¥2,955.00. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.48% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 thousand shares and in total, 15 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥44.17 million.
The stock is at the lower part of a horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at JP¥2,884.10 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect AIPHONE CO.,LTD. stock with a 90% probability to be traded between JP¥2,907.21 and JP¥3,135.70 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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6718.T Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.04%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The AIPHONE CO.,LTD. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥2,909.14 and JP¥2,944.74. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AIPHONE CO.,LTD. stock
AIPHONE CO.,LTD. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥2,824.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥51.00 between high and low, or 1.76%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.24%.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥2,741.95 (-5.65%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 37 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (6718.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 22nd we expect AIPHONE CO.,LTD. to open at JP¥2,921.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥2,852.72 and JP¥2,959.28, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥53.28 (+/-1.83%) up or down from last closing price. If AIPHONE CO.,LTD. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥2,947.00 (1.41%) than the support at JP¥2,824.00 (2.82%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is AIPHONE CO.,LTD. stock A Buy?
AIPHONE CO.,LTD. holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.103 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for AIPHONE CO.,LTD. of Wednesday, May 22, 2024
| Fair opening price May 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥2,921.67 ( 0.539%) | JP¥2,906.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 6718.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 2,972.67 | 2.29 % | |
| R2 | 2,953.18 | 1.62 % | ||
| R1 | 2,941.15 | 1.21 % | ||
| Current price: | 2,906.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2,902.18 | -0.131 % | |
| S2 | 2,890.15 | -0.545 % | ||
| S3 | 2,870.67 | -1.22 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3,045.00 | 4.78 % | |
| R2 | 2,970.00 | 2.20 % | ||
| R1 | 2,947.00 | 1.41 % | ||
| Current price | 2,906.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2,824.00 | -2.82% | |
| S2 | 2,816.00 | -3.10% | ||
| S3 | 2,800.00 | -3.65% |
6718 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 27, 2024 | Sep 27, 2024 | Sep 27, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 2 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 3 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | JP¥40.00 | 1.98% |
| 4 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | JP¥40.00 | 2.05% |
| 5 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | JP¥56.00 | 2.72% |
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