NAIGAI CO.,LTD. Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for NAIGAI CO.,LTD. as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on May 15, 2024)
The NAIGAI CO.,LTD. stock price fell by -0.772% on the last day (Wednesday, 15th May 2024) from JP¥259.00 to JP¥257.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.17% from a day low at JP¥257.00 to a day high of JP¥260.00. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.39% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 thousand shares and in total, 7 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥1.80 million.
The stock is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect NAIGAI CO.,LTD. stock with a 90% probability to be traded between JP¥249.63 and JP¥263.93 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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8013.T Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The NAIGAI CO.,LTD. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥257.43 and JP¥258.63. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, May 02, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.15%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NAIGAI CO.,LTD. stock
NAIGAI CO.,LTD. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥256.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥3.00 between high and low, or 1.17%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.09%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (8013.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 16th we expect NAIGAI CO.,LTD. to open at JP¥258.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥253.48 and JP¥260.52, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥3.52 (+/-1.37%) up or down from last closing price. If NAIGAI CO.,LTD. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.74% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥258.00 (0.39%) than the support at JP¥256.00 (0.39%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is NAIGAI CO.,LTD. stock A Buy?
NAIGAI CO.,LTD. holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.843 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for NAIGAI CO.,LTD. of Thursday, May 16, 2024
| Fair opening price May 16, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥258.00 ( 0.389%) | JP¥257.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 8013.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 261.00 | 1.56 % | |
| R2 | 259.85 | 1.11 % | ||
| R1 | 259.15 | 0.84 % | ||
| Current price: | 257.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 256.85 | -0.0568 % | |
| S2 | 256.15 | -0.332 % | ||
| S3 | 255.00 | -0.778 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 261.00 | 1.56 % | |
| R2 | 259.00 | 0.778 % | ||
| R1 | 258.00 | 0.389 % | ||
| Current price | 257.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 256.00 | -0.389% | |
| S2 | 255.00 | -0.778% | ||
| S3 | 251.00 | -2.33% |
FAQ
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