Merdeka Financial Services Group Limited Stock Forecast
Volatile ride for Merdeka Financial Services Group Limited stock price on Friday moving between HK$0.0430 and HK$0.0480
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The Merdeka Financial Services Group Limited stock price gained 2.13% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th May 2024), rising from HK$0.0470 to HK$0.0480. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 11.63% from a day low at HK$0.0430 to a day high of HK$0.0480. The price has risen in 4 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.13% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 4 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$221.76 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.62% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$0.0375 and HK$0.0488 at the end of this 3-month period.
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8163.HK Signals & Forecast
The Merdeka Financial Services Group Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at HK$0.0476 and HK$0.0449. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Merdeka Financial Services Group Limited has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 29, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.88%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Merdeka Financial Services Group Limited stock
Merdeka Financial Services Group Limited finds support from accumulated volume at HK$0.0470 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.0050 between high and low, or 11.63%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.88%.
Our recommended stop-loss: HK$0.0457 (-4.80%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 12 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (8163.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Merdeka Financial Services Group Limited to open at HK$0.0463, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$0.0445 and HK$0.0515, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0035 (+/-7.20%) up or down from last closing price. If Merdeka Financial Services Group Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 14.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at HK$0.0490 (2.08%) than the support at HK$0.0470 (2.08%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Merdeka Financial Services Group Limited stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.381 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Merdeka Financial Services Group Limited of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
HK$0.0463 ( 3.47%) | HK$0.0480 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 8163.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0.0513 | 6.94 % | |
R2 | 0.0494 | 2.97 % | ||
R1 | 0.0482 | 0.507 % | ||
Current price: | 0.0480 | |||
Support | S1 | 0.0444 | -7.45 % | |
S2 | 0.0432 | -9.91 % | ||
S3 | 0.0413 | -13.89 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0.0510 | 6.25 % | |
R2 | 0.0500 | 4.17 % | ||
R1 | 0.0490 | 2.08 % | ||
Current price | 0.0480 | |||
Support | S1 | 0.0470 | -2.08% | |
S2 | 0.0450 | -6.25% | ||
S3 | 0.0440 | -8.33% |
FAQ
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