Mizuho Financial Group,Inc. Stock Forecast
Mizuho Financial Group,Inc. stock downgraded to Buy Candidate
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The Mizuho Financial Group,Inc. stock price fell by -1.11% on the last day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024) from JP¥3,052.00 to JP¥3,018.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.97% from a day low at JP¥2,976.50 to a day high of JP¥3,035.00. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.43% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -820 thousand shares and in total, 12 million shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥37.42 billion.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at JP¥2,975.49 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 11.93% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥3,330.57 and JP¥3,771.23 at the end of this 3-month period.
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8411.T Signals & Forecast
The Mizuho Financial Group,Inc. stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately JP¥3,022.86. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately JP¥2,989.91. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, March 08, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.19%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Mizuho Financial Group,Inc. stock
Mizuho Financial Group,Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥3,002.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥58.50 between high and low, or 1.97%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.79%.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥2,859.22 (-5.26%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 36 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (8411.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Mizuho Financial Group,Inc. to open at JP¥3,009.83, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥2,952.99 and JP¥3,083.01, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥65.01 (+/-2.15%) up or down from last closing price. If Mizuho Financial Group,Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.31% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at JP¥3,002.00 (0.53%) than the resistance at JP¥3,043.00 (0.83%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Mizuho Financial Group,Inc. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Mizuho Financial Group,Inc. stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.071 Buy Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Mizuho Financial Group,Inc. of Thursday, May 2, 2024
| Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥3,009.83 ( 0.271%) | JP¥3,018.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 8411.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3,068.33 | 1.67 % | |
| R2 | 3,045.99 | 0.93 % | ||
| R1 | 3,032.18 | 0.470 % | ||
| Current price: | 3,018.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2,987.49 | -1.01 % | |
| S2 | 2,973.68 | -1.47 % | ||
| S3 | 2,951.33 | -2.21 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3,150.00 | 4.37 % | |
| R2 | 3,045.00 | 0.89 % | ||
| R1 | 3,043.00 | 0.83 % | ||
| Current price | 3,018.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3,002.00 | -0.530% | |
| S2 | 2,933.50 | -2.80% | ||
| S3 | 2,798.50 | -7.27% |
8411 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 2 | Sep 28, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | JP¥47.50 | 1.83% |
| 3 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | JP¥42.50 | 2.27% |
| 4 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | JP¥42.50 | 2.67% |
| 5 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | JP¥40.00 | 2.50% |
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