The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. Stock Forecast
The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. stock price down 1.76% on Wednesday
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. stock price fell by -1.76% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from JP¥683.00 to JP¥671.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.16% from a day low at JP¥665.00 to a day high of JP¥686.00. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -10.53% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 6 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 57 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥38.11 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 25.80% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥844.11 and JP¥1,222.61 at the end of this 3-month period.
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8617.T Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥699.43 and JP¥780.51. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 25, 2024, and so far it has fallen -25.44%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. stock
The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥662.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥21.00 between high and low, or 3.16%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.60%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (8617.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. to open at JP¥674.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥634.99 and JP¥707.01, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥36.01 (+/-5.37%) up or down from last closing price. If The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.73% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at JP¥662.00 (1.34%) than the resistance at JP¥695.00 (3.58%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. stock A Buy?
The The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.252 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for The Kosei Securities Co.,Ltd. of Thursday, April 25, 2024
| Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥674.00 ( 0.447%) | JP¥671.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 8617.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 695.00 | 3.58 % | |
| R2 | 686.98 | 2.38 % | ||
| R1 | 682.02 | 1.64 % | ||
| Current price: | 671.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 665.98 | -0.748 % | |
| S2 | 661.02 | -1.49 % | ||
| S3 | 653.00 | -2.68 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 836.00 | 24.59 % | |
| R2 | 809.00 | 20.57 % | ||
| R1 | 695.00 | 3.58 % | ||
| Current price | 671.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 662.00 | -1.34% | |
| S2 | 602.00 | -10.28% | ||
| S3 | 589.00 | -12.22% |
8617 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | Jun 01, 2024 | JP¥5.00 | 0.745% |
| 2 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | JP¥5.00 | 1.22% |
| 3 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | JP¥5.00 | 1.02% |
| 4 | Mar 30, 2021 | Mar 30, 2021 | Mar 30, 2021 | JP¥13.00 | 1.62% |
| 5 | Mar 30, 2020 | Mar 30, 2020 | Mar 30, 2020 | JP¥7.00 | 1.35% |
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