Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X Shares ETF Forecast
Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X Shares ETF upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X Shares ETF price gained 0.349% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $22.94 to $23.02. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.22% from a day low at $22.76 to a day high of $23.04. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.49% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -125 thousand shares and in total, 119 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.75 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 13.07% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $25.41 and $26.95 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AAPD Signals & Forecast
A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.50%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X Shares ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $23.24. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $22.81. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X Shares ETF
Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X Shares finds support from accumulated volume at $22.97 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.277 between high and low, or 1.22%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.36%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $22.04 (-4.27%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AAPD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X Shares to open at $22.94, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $22.63 and $23.41, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.388 (+/-1.68%) up or down from last closing price. If Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.37% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $22.97 (0.22%) than the resistance at $23.10 (0.35%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X Shares ETF A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.424 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X Shares of Monday, April 29, 2024
Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$22.94 ( 0.358%) | $23.02 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AAPD
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 23.21 | 0.85 % | |
R2 | 23.11 | 0.386 % | ||
R1 | 23.04 | 0.102 % | ||
Current price: | 23.02 | |||
Support | S1 | 22.83 | -0.82 % | |
S2 | 22.77 | -1.10 % | ||
S3 | 22.66 | -1.56 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 23.61 | 2.56 % | |
R2 | 23.14 | 0.521 % | ||
R1 | 23.10 | 0.348 % | ||
Current price | 23.02 | |||
Support | S1 | 22.97 | -0.217% | |
S2 | 21.80 | -5.30% | ||
S3 | 20.95 | -8.99% |
AAPD Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 19, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | $0.176 | 0.767% |
2 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.264 | 1.31% |
3 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 19, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | $0.193 | 0.85% |
4 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 21, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.243 | 1.18% |
5 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 21, 2023 | Mar 28, 2023 | $0.183 | 0.740% |
FAQ
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