Air Canada Stock Forecast
Air Canada stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on May 14, 2024)
The Air Canada stock price fell by -0.210% on the last day (Tuesday, 14th May 2024) from $19.06 to $19.02. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.37% from a day low at $18.93 to a day high of $19.19. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -6.4% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -1 million shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $27.45 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $18.58 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.78% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $20.02 and $22.51 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AC.TO Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, May 08, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.92%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Air Canada stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $19.39. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $18.77. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Air Canada stock
Air Canada finds support from accumulated volume at $18.75 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.260 between high and low, or 1.37%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.28%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AC.TO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 15th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 15th we expect Air Canada to open at $19.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $18.59 and $19.45, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.427 (+/-2.25%) up or down from last closing price. If Air Canada takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.49% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $18.75 (1.42%) than the resistance at $19.47 (2.37%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Air Canada stock A Buy?
Air Canada holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.876 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Air Canada of Wednesday, May 15, 2024
| Fair opening price May 15, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $19.05 ( 0.140%) | $19.02 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AC.TO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 19.31 | 1.51 % | |
| R2 | 19.21 | 0.98 % | ||
| R1 | 19.15 | 0.662 % | ||
| Current price: | 19.02 | |||
| Support | S1 | 18.95 | -0.382 % | |
| S2 | 18.89 | -0.705 % | ||
| S3 | 18.79 | -1.23 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 20.00 | 5.15 % | |
| R2 | 19.58 | 2.94 % | ||
| R1 | 19.47 | 2.37 % | ||
| Current price | 19.02 | |||
| Support | S1 | 18.75 | -1.42% | |
| S2 | 18.39 | -3.31% | ||
| S3 | 18.00 | -5.36% |
FAQ
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