AES Brasil Energia S.A. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Friday for AES Brasil Energia S.A.
(Updated on May 24, 2024)
The AES Brasil Energia S.A. stock price gained 0.0895% on the last trading day (Friday, 24th May 2024), rising from R$11.17 to R$11.18. It has now gained 5 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.539% from a day low at R$11.13 to a day high of R$11.19. The price has risen in 9 of the last 10 days and is up by 16.58% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -3 million shares and in total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately R$51.94 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.80% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between R$8.66 and R$10.76 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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AESB3.SA Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The AES Brasil Energia S.A. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at R$11.13 and R$9.80. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 25, 2024, and so far it has risen 22.19%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AES Brasil Energia S.A. stock
AES Brasil Energia S.A. finds support from accumulated volume at R$11.17 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved R$0.0600 between high and low, or 0.539%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.81%.
The AES Brasil Energia S.A. stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: R$10.88 (-2.70%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. The RSI14 is 90 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 45 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AESB3.SA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 27th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 27th we expect AES Brasil Energia S.A. to open at R$11.17, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between R$10.94 and R$11.42, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-R$0.240 (+/-2.14%) up or down from last closing price. If AES Brasil Energia S.A. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ R$11.17, some R$0.0100 (0.09%) from the current price of R$11.18, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is AES Brasil Energia S.A. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 1.992 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for AES Brasil Energia S.A. of Monday, May 27, 2024
| Fair opening price May 27, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| R$11.17 ( 0.119%) | R$11.18 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AESB3.SA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 11.23 | 0.417 % | |
| R2 | 11.20 | 0.212 % | ||
| R1 | 11.19 | 0.0857 % | ||
| Current price: | 11.18 | |||
| Support | S1 | 11.14 | -0.324 % | |
| S2 | 11.13 | -0.451 % | ||
| S3 | 11.11 | -0.656 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 0 | . | ||
| Current price | 11.18 | |||
| Support | S1 | 11.17 | -0.0894% | |
| S2 | 11.13 | -0.447% | ||
| S3 | 11.05 | -1.16% |
AESB3 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 25, 2024 | Apr 25, 2024 | May 02, 2024 | R$0.0746 | 0.778% |
| 2 | Apr 23, 2024 | Apr 23, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | R$0.0746 | 0.788% |
| 3 | Aug 10, 2022 | Aug 10, 2022 | Aug 10, 2022 | R$0.107 | 1.07% |
| 4 | Aug 10, 2021 | Aug 10, 2021 | Aug 10, 2021 | R$0.0589 | 0.450% |
| 5 | May 11, 2021 | May 11, 2021 | May 11, 2021 | R$0.166 | 1.20% |
FAQ
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