Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Stronger technical forecast for Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited stock price after Friday trading.
(Updated on May 31, 2024)
The Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited stock price fell by -0.85% on the last day (Friday, 31st May 2024) from ₹884.15 to ₹876.65. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.91% from a day low at ₹870.00 to a day high of ₹904.00. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.52% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -28 thousand shares and in total, 45 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹39.05 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 5.71% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹866.00 and ₹1,001.80 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AGARIND.NS Signals & Forecast
The Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately ₹902.02. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately ₹874.18. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 22, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.91%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, July 11, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, July 11, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at ₹803.90 and ₹802.35. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited finds support just below today's level at ₹803.90. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at ₹802.35 and ₹791.20.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved ₹34.00 between high and low, or 3.91%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.11%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹825.80 (-5.80%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 54 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AGARIND.NS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited to open at ₹883.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹838.64 and ₹914.66, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹38.01 (+/-4.34%) up or down from last closing price. If Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹895.65 (2.17%) than the support at ₹803.90 (8.30%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.915 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited of Monday, June 3, 2024
| Fair opening price June 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ₹883.55 ( 0.787%) | ₹876.65 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AGARIND.NS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 917.55 | 4.67 % | |
| R2 | 904.56 | 3.18 % | ||
| R1 | 896.54 | 2.27 % | ||
| Current price: | 876.65 | |||
| Support | S1 | 870.56 | -0.694 % | |
| S2 | 862.54 | -1.61 % | ||
| S3 | 849.55 | -3.09 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 915.20 | 4.40 % | |
| R2 | 907.50 | 3.52 % | ||
| R1 | 895.65 | 2.17 % | ||
| Current price | 876.65 | |||
| Support | S1 | 803.90 | -8.30% | |
| S2 | 802.35 | -8.48% | ||
| S3 | 791.20 | -9.75% |
AGARIND Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 22, 2022 | Sep 22, 2022 | Sep 22, 2022 | ₹2.00 | 0.326% |
| 2 | Sep 22, 2021 | Sep 22, 2021 | Sep 22, 2021 | ₹1.80 | 0.591% |
| 3 | Sep 22, 2020 | Sep 22, 2020 | Sep 22, 2020 | ₹1.50 | 1.60% |
| 4 | May 30, 2019 | Sep 20, 2019 | Oct 30, 2019 | ₹1.80 | 1.50% |
| 5 | May 30, 2018 | Sep 19, 2018 | Oct 29, 2018 | ₹1.50 | 0.81% |
FAQ
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