Assured Guaranty Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Aug 10, 2026

The Assured Guaranty Ltd stock price gained 0.676% on the last trading day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026), rising from $75.43 to $75.94. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.64% from a day low at $75.28 to a day high of $77.27. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -10.97% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -196 thousand shares and in total, 393 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $29.82 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $75.59 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 12.80% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $85.27 and $98.87 at the end of this 3-month period.

AGO Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, August 07, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.676%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Assured Guaranty Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $80.89 and $82.23. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Assured Guaranty Ltd stock

Assured Guaranty Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at $75.55 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.99 between high and low, or 2.64%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.03%.

Assured Guaranty Ltd is oversold on RSI14 (21). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: $71.52 (-5.82%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. Low RSI14 is 21 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (AGO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Assured Guaranty Ltd to open at $76.16, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $74.89 and $76.99, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.10 (+/-2.80%) up or down from last closing price. If Assured Guaranty Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.80% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $75.55 (0.51%) than the resistance at $76.52 (0.76%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For AGO

Dividend coming up for AGO: Ex-dividend date (Thursday 20th August, 2026) is 9 days away. The dividend is $0.380.

Is Assured Guaranty Ltd stock A Buy?

Assured Guaranty Ltd holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.071 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $76.16 ( 0.294%).

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