AIB Group Plc Stock Forecast
A very red day for AIB Group Plc stock price after a -5.30% fall in the Friday trading session
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The AIB Group Plc stock price fell by -5.30% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from £434.00 to £411.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.38% from a day low at £411.00 to a day high of £429.00. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.08% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 15 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 18 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £7.59 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 29.72% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £533.16 and £565.08 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AIBG.L Signals & Forecast
A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, April 25, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.30%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The AIB Group Plc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately £425.71. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately £407.94. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AIB Group Plc stock
AIB Group Plc finds support from accumulated volume at £396.50 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £18.00 between high and low, or 4.38%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.58%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £389.79 (-5.16%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (AIBG.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect AIB Group Plc to open at £417.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £398.07 and £423.93, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£12.93 (+/-3.14%) up or down from last closing price. If AIB Group Plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at £415.50 (1.09%) than the support at £396.50 (3.53%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is AIB Group Plc stock A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.781 Buy Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for AIB Group Plc of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £417.00 ( 1.46%) | £411.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AIBG.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 435.00 | 5.84 % | |
| R2 | 428.12 | 4.17 % | ||
| R1 | 423.88 | 3.13 % | ||
| Current price: | 411.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 410.12 | -0.213 % | |
| S2 | 405.88 | -1.25 % | ||
| S3 | 399.00 | -2.92 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 422.50 | 2.80 % | |
| R2 | 418.50 | 1.82 % | ||
| R1 | 415.50 | 1.09 % | ||
| Current price | 411.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 396.50 | -3.53% | |
| S2 | 357.50 | -13.02% | ||
| S3 | 337.00 | -18.00% |
AIBG Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | May 10, 2024 | £22.74 | 5.53% |
| 2 | Mar 08, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | May 12, 2023 | £6.20 | 1.86% |
| 3 | Mar 03, 2022 | Mar 31, 2022 | May 13, 2022 | £4.50 | 2.46% |
| 4 | Mar 06, 2020 | Mar 26, 2020 | May 07, 2020 | £8.00 | 9.21% |
| 5 | Mar 02, 2018 | Mar 21, 2019 | May 04, 2018 | £17.00 | 3.95% |
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