Airbus SE Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
A very red day for Airbus SE stock price after a -9.41% fall in the Tuesday trading session
(Updated on Jun 25, 2024)
The Airbus SE stock price fell by -9.41% on the last day (Tuesday, 25th Jun 2024) from 148.78€ to 134.78€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.29% from a day low at 129.96€ to a day high of 136.84€. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -9.24% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 7 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 8 million shares were bought and sold for approximately 1.08€ billion.
The stock has broken the falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point (140.47€) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory 129.88€ will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.
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AIR.PA Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Airbus SE stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at 146.11€ and 154.15€. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 24, 2024, and so far it has fallen -9.41%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Airbus SE stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved 6.88€ between high and low, or 5.29%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.78%.
Airbus SE is oversold on RSI14 (21). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AIR.PA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 26th we expect Airbus SE to open at 133.86€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 131.07€ and 138.49€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-3.71€ (+/-2.75%) up or down from last closing price. If Airbus SE takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.50% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ 145.80€, some 11.02€ (8.18%) from the current price of 134.78€, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Airbus SE stock A Buy?
Airbus SE holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.747 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Airbus SE of Wednesday, June 26, 2024
| Fair opening price June 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| 133.86€ ( 0.683%) | 134.78€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AIR.PA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 140.74 | 4.42% |
| R2 | 138.11 | 2.47% |
| R1 | 136.49 | 1.27% |
| Price | 134.78 | |
| S1 | 131.23 | -2.63% |
| S2 | 129.61 | -3.84% |
| S3 | 126.98 | -5.79% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 155.90 | 15.67% |
| R2 | 148.58 | 10.24% |
| R1 | 145.80 | 8.18% |
| Price | 134.78 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
AIR Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 19, 2024 | Apr 19, 2024 | Apr 19, 2024 | 0€ | 0% |
| 2 | Apr 16, 2024 | Apr 16, 2024 | Apr 18, 2024 | 1.00€ | 0.622% |
| 3 | Apr 25, 2023 | Apr 25, 2023 | Apr 25, 2023 | 1.80€ | 1.43% |
| 4 | Apr 19, 2022 | Apr 19, 2022 | Apr 19, 2022 | 1.50€ | 1.44% |
| 5 | Apr 20, 2020 | Apr 20, 2020 | Apr 20, 2020 | 1.80€ | 3.24% |
FAQ
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