- Excellent financial health (Piotroski 7/9)
- Beat earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
- High gross margin of 70.7%
Ares Management LP stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session
(Updated on Jul 17, 2026)
The Ares Management LP stock price gained 0.199% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th Jul 2026), rising from $125.43 to $125.68. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.76% from a day low at $122.40 to a day high of $127.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.51% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 464 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $200.13 million.
The stock is moving within a very wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Ares Management LP stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $109.58 and $138.03 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
ARES Signals & Forecast
The Ares Management LP stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $122.87 and $123.56. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 29, 2026, and so far it has risen 16.80%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ares Management LP stock
Ares Management LP finds support from accumulated volume at $124.61 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $4.60 between high and low, or 3.76%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.47%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $121.33 (-3.46%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 77 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 13 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ARES) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Ares Management LP to open at $125.03, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $123.17 and $128.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.02 (+/-4.08%) up or down from last closing price. If Ares Management LP takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.08% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $126.25 (0.45%) than the support at $124.61 (0.85%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Ares Management LP stock A Buy?
Ares Management LP holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.337
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 20, 2026 - $125.03 ( 0.520%).
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ARES Performance
Trading levels for ARES
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 129.63 | 3.14% |
| R2 | 127.87 | 1.74% |
| R1 | 126.78 | 0.88% |
| Price | 125.68 | |
| S1 | 123.27 | -1.92% |
| S2 | 122.18 | -2.78% |
| S3 | 120.43 | -4.18% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 129.34 | 2.91% |
| R2 | 128.28 | 2.07% |
| R1 | 126.25 | 0.454% |
| Price | 125.68 | |
| S1 | 124.61 | -0.85% |
| S2 | 119.06 | -5.27% |
| S3 | 117.40 | -6.59% |
ARES Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 01, 2026 | Jun 16, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | $1.35 | 1.13% |
| 2 | Mar 17, 2026 | Mar 17, 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | $1.35 | 1.03% |
| 3 | Nov 03, 2025 | Dec 17, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | $1.12 | 0.732% |
| 4 | Aug 01, 2025 | Sep 16, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | $1.12 | 0.594% |
| 5 | Jun 16, 2025 | Jun 16, 2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | $1.12 | 0.675% |
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