American Realty Investors Inc Stock Forecast
American Realty Investors Inc stock price down 1.23% on Friday
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The American Realty Investors Inc stock price fell by -1.23% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from $13.78 to $13.61. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.71% from a day low at $13.49 to a day high of $13.99. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -8.04% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -1 thousand shares and in total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $55.66 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -37.46% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $7.74 and $9.23 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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ARL Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The American Realty Investors Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $13.90 and $15.99. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 25, 2024, and so far it has fallen -27.41%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for American Realty Investors Inc stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.500 between high and low, or 3.71%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.26%.
American Realty Investors Inc is oversold on RSI14 (20). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ARL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect American Realty Investors Inc to open at $13.70, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.96 and $14.26, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.653 (+/-4.80%) up or down from last closing price. If American Realty Investors Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.59% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $13.78, some $0.170 (1.25%) from the current price of $13.61, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Earnings coming up
American Realty Investors Inc will release earnings BMO on Thursday, May 09, 2024. We will update the financials statements for American Realty Investors Inc, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 5.56% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is American Realty Investors Inc stock A Buy?
American Realty Investors Inc holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.545 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for American Realty Investors Inc of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $13.70 ( 0.637%) | $13.61 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ARL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 14.20 | 4.31 % | |
| R2 | 14.01 | 2.91 % | ||
| R1 | 13.89 | 2.04 % | ||
| Current price: | 13.61 | |||
| Support | S1 | 13.51 | -0.767 % | |
| S2 | 13.39 | -1.63 % | ||
| S3 | 13.20 | -3.04 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 14.80 | 8.74 % | |
| R2 | 13.85 | 1.76 % | ||
| R1 | 13.78 | 1.25 % | ||
| Current price | 13.61 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
ARL Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 18, 1999 | Mar 18, 1999 | Mar 18, 1999 | $0.0500 | 0.304% |
| 2 | Dec 10, 1998 | Dec 17, 1998 | Jan 04, 1999 | $0.0500 | 0.305% |
| 3 | Aug 28, 1998 | Sep 11, 1998 | Sep 30, 1998 | $0.0500 | 0.328% |
| 4 | May 27, 1998 | Jun 02, 1998 | Jun 19, 1998 | $0.0500 | 0.335% |
| 5 | Mar 05, 1998 | Mar 12, 1998 | Mar 31, 1998 | $0.0500 | 0.335% |
FAQ
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